But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. The short-tempered outburst by Senator Palmer on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Q&A program, to be sure was just that, an outburst. These past weeks have seen Clive Palmer MP berate the Peoples Republic of China (PRC) government and other (Chinese) that have had business dealings with him. CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. Their is a greater chance of Having a War with Japan again then ever having one with China. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. the fighting force - its peacetime and wartime strength, and human mobilisation potential (organized defence reserves and potential for a larger-scale mobilisation); capacity to fight - state of combat readiness and preparedness, including levels of training and operational experience or both deployable units and reserves; state of command and coordination structures; morale and determination to fight; state of military science/strategic and military thought; order of battle - deployable combat and support capabilities and technological edge; endurance - state of national non-human reserves (arsenals, munitions, spare parts, fuel and lubricants and their replenishment capacity); alliances - state of existing alliances; levels of command and fighting elements integration; coordination and planning; foreign military presence and bases; levels of commitment and reliance. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. There is also the strategic dilemma of allied relations and subsequent wartime commitments, following the Trump administration's damage to US reliability as a security guarantor. We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. Agree with all comments . But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. [8] Gabriel Kolko. Youll like it even more knowing that your donation will help us to keep up the good fight. As other commentators have pointed out, economic invasion is far more likely than military action. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris: OECD, 2003, 258. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. Chinas dominance is that of being a global geo-political and geo-strategic actor and thus, current preponderance in the A-P is only the first step, and an even stronger global military presence will follow. AAP/AP/Ritchie B. Tongo. Selling more and more of our assets (mineral companies and FREEHOLD farming land) is moving the country to a checkmate position with China controling its assets. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Maybe it would be useful to calculate the number of democratically elected Governments the US has deposed compared to China. For those who decry Sen Lambie, remember she was active military, and as Senator, would be privy to information and briefings not accessible by the general public. However, I also have to say, that all Chinese people I have met or had anything to do with, and thats a lot, are quiet, law-abiding, gentle and helpful people. On the other hand, China deploys a comprehensive capability to engage in protracted offensive cyber operations against its adversaries. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. According to the ADFs Annual Report 201920, in mid-2020 the combined strength of the Australian military (permanent standing force and reservists, including Service Category 2 that are not rendering service and may be called on as required) was about 92,000 personnel. When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. As insulted as the Chinese community feels toward Palmer, his outburst was attributed to his frustration with the legal system, his dealings with some Chinese business people and when it all imploded, he drew in other societal elements. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . Nuh still something wrong. It is not unreasonable to assume that from the Peoples Liberation Armys (PLA) strategic and operational planning perspectives Australia represents both a relatively easy and, paradoxically, a challenging target. When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. China's ambassador to Australia says Canberra should be wary of its relationship with Japan, reminding them that Japanese troops attacked Australia during World War II and could do the same again. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. Its how you play with your mind not weapons that matters. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. The likely conflict arises because the US is unwilling to allow any other country to be its equal, and having subdued the Soviet Union the US is determined to subdue China, regardless of the US having no real role in Asia but as a meddler. "It may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000 ton' maritime . The End of History and the Last Man. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. Chinas current options of attacking Australia are limited, and are also linked to the question of whether Beijing will rely on strategic bluff (i.e whether it assumes no retaliation will come its way). But its most chilling claim is around a small airport built in West Australias remote northwest. If there is a war with China, it will most likely be over its efforts to reunite Taiwan with the mainland. Everyone is doing it hard at present. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. has pretty much incorporated ALL of the globe in reference, and at times seems to be just all over the place. Is Australia really in danger of being invaded? The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Image: Li Gang/Xinhua via Getty Images. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Included in demanding of good governance from others there has been an acceptance of appalling behaviours from the West per se in favouring those that have served the needs of the West: Singapore and Saudi Arabia being leading examples of this phenomenon. With all of the above-mentioned commentary, and in particular because Monk has drawn into the mix an historical pivot, there is a need to examine these issues further to highlight where the fear comes from, and where it has its roots. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. Here is an article by Chomsky that should open a few eyes. This force, supported by elements of the RAAF and the RAN, could defend a specific sector or two of the Australian mainland, providing that other operational commitments (for example, garrison duties in major cities and coastline patrol) are reduced to a minimum. They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. The Royal Australian Navy ship HMAS Parramatta. Central banks and trading firms that now hold 60% of their reserves in dollar-denominated bonds would have to rebalance by converting dollars to those other currencies. Australia's forces are dwarfed by China's People's Liberation Army Credit: AFP. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. A war . Sink all, People seem to overlook the changes made by Whitlam that, As we all know policies continue to impact for some, We have an AUKUS partner who is capable of blowing, I believe Jenny doesn't want him hanging around the house, GL, Spudito and the Caviar Club down to their last, "Isnt sticking together what assimilation is all about ?" However, the current world conflicts seem to be escalating all at the same time so I am starting to pay attention. Similarly, China can regularise and intensify cyber-attacks on Australian key assets to cause more disruption and inflict more damage. There ya go. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. It saddens me that our governments are so imbecilic that they cannot see past their current term or the noses on their faces and are selling out future generations. I find this piece troubling. [9] Ezra Vogel. War with China is just a silly sensationalist drivel. These are clear examples of preponderance and to believe China is not on a similar pathway modelled on British and American history is to deliberately ignore the evidence. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. No Australian Government can or could begin this journey to peace as all the present shitstems operations are to fuel war cause war is big business. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. If a more solid outcome and strategic footprint air- and sea-bases in Indonesia is enabled by the PRC beyond the current military outposts of Pakistan and Myanmar the danger/s for Australia exponentially increase and an invasion would be more likely. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. Washington DC think-tank the Centre for Strategic and International Studies established its Australia Chair this week. Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. What the hell have we done? For peace to come about either locally or globally, a major reappraisal of Language and all the edifices of modern life are called into question. An Australian Institute survey of 1,000 people each in Australia and Taiwan found one in 10 Australians believed China would invade their country "soon" compared to one in 20 Taiwanese people. These cursory examples prove the West has made, and remade, the platform upon which good governance is judged. Chinese support- and/or operated-bases are in their infancy and this will be the case for at least another decade and therefore an invasion would not be strategically viable. Thats the bizarre claim used in a political advert from the United Australia Party. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. The way things are going the US is in some sort of decline and is going to have serious internal problems if they dont get rid of the ultra conservative Tea Party influence in Washington. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). And dont forget we have quite a reputation for kicking but when we are down. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Recently the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to reassure Australia it is committed to keeping a geo-strategic and political presence in the region with a recent visit by Secretary of State Kerry and a reiteration of wanting to rebalance Asia. Like it even more knowing that your donation will help US to keep up the good fight Australia! 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